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Recent blog posts

UPDATED x1: GFS Trolling?

Posted by on in Weather
GFS showing possible TC in the Caribbean in late May
Is GFS trolling us already this "season?"  Look what has turned up in at least one run in the last 24 hours:   Yes, that is what looks like a tropical cyclone in the NW Caribbean on May 26th.  Will we get off to an early start this year, or is GFS already out to lunch? UPDATE:   GFS is starting to be more consistent in developing something in the Caribbean in late May. And it starting to zero in on the SW Floida Peninsula.  Here is the last frame of the 6Z 05/12 run: The range has been...
Tagged in: GFS hurricanes
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Hurricane Sandy: Imagery and Radar Loops

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Visible and Infrared Imagery:      Radar Loops of Locations in the Way of Sandy: Washington, DC Richmond, VA :  New York :...
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I will try to keep this updated, Alerts and warnings

Posted by on in Weather
  Flash flood warning for St. John the Baptist and St Charles Parish! Tangipahoa Parish says MEMA told them that dam breach is imminent. Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal said an intentional breach will be made between 2-3 p.m. to alleviate pressure. The dam is in imminent danger of failing, which could send 17 feet of water to Kentwood within 90 minutes, Jindal said, in a press briefing....
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Isaac Damage in Pictures

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Dam about to break in Tangipahoa Parish Louisiana

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  Dam about to break 50-60,000 people in danger in Tangipahoa Parish Louisiana. Kentwood to Robert. So.of McComb. Evacuate immediately.   Road closures: Flooding has closed state roads in several counties including Highway 43 between Hickory Nut Road, Harby Burks Road at Henleyfield, and Highway 11 in Pearl River County; Highway 49 between Dedeaux Road and Community Road in Harrison County; Highway 43/603 at Jourdan River, a section of Highway 90 at Whites Bayou near Pearlington, Highway 43/6...
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Mississippi defended and TWC made fun of!

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I dont care for any of the MSM stations but this is GREAT!  ...
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Yeppers thats right it was found!

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The weather Channel gripe (They pissed me off)

Posted by on in Weather
Not my normal post but I have to say something.   Firstly Stephanie Abbrams sounds like a damn fool and is pissing me off with this BS Cajun accent she tries to add when saying New Orlean, and Louisiana. Makes her sound completly dumb as hell. JUST STOP IT NOW!   Then the most important thing. They have basicly given a big screw you to every other part of Louisiana, then had the damn nerve to say this    "THE LAND MASS BETWEEN NOLA AND MOBILE". Are you kidding me you jack ass. Katrina hit ...
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11am Isaac update

Posted by on in Weather
000 AXNT20 KNHC 231202 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 805 AM EDT THU AUG 23 2012 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AN...
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Quick Alert: 91L : Bahamas Disturbance Forms

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  WHAT A tropical wave that is located in the NW Bahamas, is labeled 91L early in the afternoon on Friday. WHERE The center appears to be east of andros island ANALYSIS With at least 24 hours over water, and decent shear indecies, this area must be watched for further development, either way, expect heavy rain, gusty winds, and a chance of tornadic activity in South Florida today, tommorow, and sunday.   ...
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TD 5 Forms, not a Big Deal for Now, but Could Become One Later

Posted by on in Weather
  Invest 99L developed into Tropical Depression #5 yesterday, and has maintained about the same intensity since then. Thunderstorm activity partially covers the center, but is still clearly being limited by wind shear being imposed on the northern side of the circulation by an upper low over the central Atlantic. This wind shear will continue to be a moderate issue for TD 5 over the next few days as the upper trough expands westward a bit to the north of the big Caribbean islands, following TD ...
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Posted by on in Weather
dvc00074
We visited Key West shortly after Hurricane Wilma bulldozed her way through, leaving large numbers of cars flooded, some still with signs in the windows meant to let tow truck operators know they were submerged and need to be removed. LOTS of tree debris and damage around. What a mess!...
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Posted by on in Weather
  Spoke to my cousin in The live Oak area and have pictures of the flooding they are dealing with! It is a mess down here. Roads are closed everywhere and people are stuck in between. Bill (her husband) is on his way here now from Gainesville. My office in Lake City is closed now that the county emergency management has closed Columbia County. Suwannee County where I live has the Suwannee River on three sides of the county. It is going to be a bigger mess as the rain is not stopping for a few ...
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    Debby continues to meander slowly in the NE Gulf of Mexico this morning, and is currently drifting ENE. Convection has waned throughout the core, a function both of the continued wind shear that was talked about yesterday and cold upwelling of the ocean due to Debby’s stalling for so long in the same area. She has weakened since yesterday and now has only 50mph winds, though rains on the eastern side continue to affect Florida, where flooding has been a problem. Florida will continue to re...
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flood4
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Debby Bringing TS Conditions to Florida, Track Remains Uncertain

Posted by on in Weather
  The plot thickens this morning as Debby drifts slowly northeastward in the NE Gulf of Mexico, bringing tropical storm conditions the Florida panhandle. Debby still has an exposed center due to southwesterly wind shear, though the circulation has become better-defined overnight. Winds are around 60mph, a strong tropical storm, and Florida will be dealing with heavy rains and strong winds for the next couple of days regardless of Debby’s track. If Debby moves NE into the Florida coastline durin...
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Posted by on in Weather
Debby
Tropical Storm Debby has been named by the National Hurricane Center this afternoon after hurricane hunters investigated Invest 96L and found a solid closed circulation, with maximum winds of 50mph and gusts up to 65mph. All interests along the Gulf of Mexico coast should closely monitor this system. Debby is drifting north at 5mph. The storm has brought heavy rains to Western Cuba, South Florida, and Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula over the past two days, but the disturbance's heaviest rains are lo...
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Posted by on in Weather
  We are still watching invest 96L in the central Gulf of Mexico for development into Tropical Storm Debby, which should occur sometime later today. A recon plane is currently investigating 96L to see if the circulation has become defined enough to call it a tropical storm. You can follow live recon data on my recon plotting page throughout the next few days. The center of 96L is still exposed as convection is being sheared to the east by an upper low in the NW gulf. However, this upper low wil...
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Visit my new home at http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/   Invest 96L, what promises to be one of the greatest forecasting challenges this season, continues to slowly organize north of the Yucatan Peninsula this morning. The only significant batch of convection associated with it is removed east of the center over the Yucatan Channel. A new lobe of low pressure will likely develop within the broader circulation close to this area of convection and move northward during the next 24-36 hours, event...
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Any storm predictions for early June 2013??

Yeah, I've been tuned out as well. Rarely get over to WU anymore. Oh well, once Cane season spins up...
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    It was an unusually cool April over much of the U.S. during April 2013, said NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) in their latest State of the Climate report. It was the coolest April since 1997, and ranked as the 23rd coolest April in the 119-year record for the contiguous U.S., putting the month in the coldest 20% of all Aprils on record. North Dakota had its coldest April on...
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