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93L could be TS Alex by tuesday night,92L still needs to be watched as it could still form!!
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Ladies and Gentlemen its looks like sheer is relaxing over the majority of the MDR in the Carribean.With SST's being so high and the precipitable moisture levels increasing with 93L it appears a closed surface low is currently forming(L noted on picture above,black lines indicate forecast movement in 12hr incraments).Also noted are west winds along venezuala's north east coastline would indicate that a broad low pressure is forming at the surface.Due to sheer drastically dropping ahead of 93L,I'm expeccting some quick organization overnight with 93L becoming a TD possibly tomorrow morning(30-40%chance) and then stregthening thru-out the day tuesday becoming Tropical Storm Alex by 11pm tuesday night(40-50%).My current thinking on 93L's track thru 48 hrs is WNW and should be about 100-200 miles east south east of jamaica based on current steering,:
.I also would keep a close eye on 92L's reminants which I give a slightly higher than 50% chance of being re-invested,Either way it appears Florida will be getting a influx of moisture wed/thurs,maybe a TD.I'll update soon(sooner if it gets re-instated),god bless,be safe and happy WX watching!!!~stillwaiting
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