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HurricaneJunky
HurricaneJunky is the creator of this website, a weather enthusiast / storm chaser based in North Fort Myers, FL and a Native Floridian who comes from a family of hurricane veterans. One or more of his family members have been thru: The Great Hurricane of 1926, 1928 Okeechobee Hurricane, 1935 Labor Day Hurricane, 1941 Miami Hurricane, 1947 Miami Hurricane 1950 Hurricane King, 1960 Hurricane Donna, 1964 Hurricane Cleo, 1965 Hurricane Betsy, 1979 Hurricane David, 1992 Hurricane Andrew, 2000 Hurricane Gordon, 2004 Hurricane Charley and 2005 Hurricane Wilma. As a child he was always enthralled with hurricanes and severe weather of all sorts and his passion for weather has only grown stronger over the years. He has experienced (in some way) 1992 Hurricane Andrew, 1985 No-Name Storm, 1993 Super Storm, 2004 Hurricane Charley, 2004 Hurricane Frances, 2004 Hurricane Jeanne, 2005 Hurricane Wilma and 2008 TS Faye. Other side swipes, near misses and no-name storms came and went as well. He is an experienced tropical weather tracker and a certified NWS Skywarn storm spotter. A Davis Weather Instruments Vantage Pro 6152 records the weather conditions occurring outside his home.
Recent Posts
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Friday update on severe weather potential this weekend Featured
Below is an update to the potential severe weather event this weekend. A low pressure system is organizing over Texas and is still forecast to fully develop over the northern Gulf of Mexico on Saturday and move east across northern or central Florida Saturday night into Sunday. This low pressure system will also have an accompanying cold fro ...Apr 20 2012 -
Severe Weather Potential This Weekend Across South Florida Featured
More updates on the possible severe weather event this weekend in South Florida:... ...Apr 19 2012 -
Florida Severe Weather Potential this Weekend Featured
Severe Weather Advisory from Florida NWS/EOC: There is a reasonably high chance of severe weather this weekend across the Florida peninsula as a strong low pressure system develops over the Gulf of Mexico late this week and moves across the state sometime this weekend. Timing is difficult to determine at this time, but it appears that the period f ...Apr 18 2012 -
UPDATE: NWS Briefing on Potential Severe Weather Late Tonight and Friday Morning Featured
...Severe Weather Potential Late Tonight and Tomorrow Morning Across South Florida... UPDATED 345 PM EDT April 5th A strong low pressure system in the upper levels of the atmosphere over northern Mississippi and Alabama will help propel an area of thunderstorms currently over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico eastward toward the Florida penins ...Apr 05 2012 -
Record Number of Billion-Dollar U.S. Disasters
by Chris Dolce, Meteorologist Updated: August 17, 2011 1:00 p.m. ET From drought to floods and tornadoes, 2011 has seen more than its fair share of devastation. According to the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), total economic damage costs in the U.S. exceed $35 billion so far in 2011! This includes nine "billion-dolla ...Aug 21 2011 -
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Could 94L become Danielle or Earl????
Ok guys will 94L turn into Danielle or Earl??? Then move across the southern Gulf and move towards TX/LA coast?Now from what I'm seeing the Low does have some shear about 20kts but once it gets into the Gulf of Mexico shear backs off to a moderate 10kts in 36 hrs. So how about some of you experts out here give me some information.... Am I rig ...Aug 08 2010 -
Could 92L be the 1st Storm
Well guys and gals, looks like the NHC has given a 20% chance and a code yellow for 92L. Could this be our 1st storm of 2010? Then with that being at a low latitude, they always seem to come towards the GOM. Although time will tell. We'll have about 10 days before we really know where it is going and how big it will be...Taco :o)... ...Jun 12 2010 -
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Stormchaser81
Stormchaser81 has not set their biography yet
Recent Posts
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TRMM Satellite Sees Heavy Rain, Towering Clouds in Tropical Storm Katia
This image from 4:41 am EDT on Aug. 30, 2011 shows a 3D image of the storm looking west courtesy of the TRMM PR. TRMM showed the presence of some deeper convective towers (shown in red), within the storm. Towers closest to the center of the storm (the nearest) reach about 12.5 km, while those in the outer rain band (farthest way) reach up to 1 ...Sep 01 2011 -
93L slowly organizing
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A look under Irene's Central Dense Overcast (CDO)
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NASA's TRMM Satellite Analyzes Hurricane Irene in Rainfall, Lightning, Eyewall
On Sunday, August 21, 2011, Irene was only a tropical storm, and the TRMM Precipitation Radar reveals that it had an impressive hot tower that reached over 9.5 miles high (15.75 km). Strong radar signals, perhaps from large ice particles are shown in red at the base of the hot towers, which suggests strong updrafts were present in order for ...Aug 26 2011 -
Gulf of Mexico Currents with SST 6-21-11
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Stillwaiting
Stillwaiting has not set their biography yet
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Second named storm Bonnie forms and moves towards SE Florida and the Upper keys
Well as forecast,sheer and drier from a ULL that was keeping 97L from closing a surface low moved far enough away for it to happen last night or early this morning and becoming a TD,the NHC probably waiting for confirmation of sustained surface winds close to td3's center to upgrade it to Tropical strom Bonnie the second tropical cyclone of trhe 20 ...Jul 22 2010 -
93L could be TS Alex by tuesday night,92L still needs to be watched as it could still form!!
Ladies and Gentlemen its looks like sheer is relaxing over the majority of the MDR in the Carribean.With SST's being so high and the precipitable moisture levels increasing with 93L it appears a closed surface low is currently forming(L noted on picture above,black lines indicate forecast movement in 12hr incraments).Also noted are west winds along ...Jun 21 2010 -
Was 92L the first TD of the 2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season?? 92L Recap
Well first blog w/extremeteam!!!!!!, The last 5 days have been very interesting w/our 3rd invest of the season and in my opinion the only true tropical invest of the atlantic season. 90L was baroclonically induced, therefore not a true tropical invest and 91L was more or less the remnants of the eastpacs first TS Agatha which at the time looked im ...Jun 17 2010 -
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Tornadodude
Tornadodude has not set their biography yet
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TORC
Hey hey everyone, As many, if not most of you know, I am a storm chaser. I chase extreme weather anytime, anywhere, and any chance I get. I have a passion to witness and document the most incredible, awe-inspiring forces on the planet. I have recently teamed up with several people who have a desire to chase as well. Two o ...Sep 29 2011 -
November 15th, 2005 Tornado Outbreak
5 years ago, on this date, an EF3 tornado tore through my county, causing major damage.The tornado destroyed at least 64 homes and damaged at least 70 more along the US 150 corridor in Washington, Cannelburg and Loogootee. Up to 200 employees were trapped at K&K Industries in Montgomery, but they were all accounted for.The path of the tornado w ...Nov 15 2010 -
Snowy Veteran's Day on the High Plains
A special thank you to all who have served and are currently serving for this great nation! Today, as an upper level low and trailing cold front push across the plains and Midwest, there are a few winter storm warnings out for Nebraska and Wyoming, with the potential of up to 10 inches of snow in some locales. " Winter Storm War ...Nov 11 2010 -
Storm Chase 2011 Prep.
Here is what I'd like to have done/acquire by the end of winter: 1. Replace the front windshield and tires on the van 2. Some type of hail protection for the windshield 3. Get mobile broadband service, booster antenna, and maybe even a router for that. 4. Bolt my laptop stand to the floor between the driver and passenger seat 5. buy another ...Nov 09 2010 -
Possible Storms and Snow Late This Week
As the weekend draws to a close, we look ahead to what this week has in store. The Northeast will have a nor'easter to deal with as a low forms off the east coast and moves along the coast. This low will tap some of the moisture from former Hurricane Tomas, and will dump some torrential rains in parts of the Northeast, including Maine, where 2-5 in ...Nov 07 2010 -
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Hurricane Hunters finding 50 mph. winds on the Unnamed Tropical Storm (Invest 98L)
There is no doubt in my mind we had a Depression yesterday and this morning. The depression has strengthened to a Tropical Storm with winds of 40-45 mph. The Hurricane Hunters are in the storm now and are finding winds of 50 mph. The NHC should classify this Tropical Storm Paula at 2 p.m. The track may be important to those who live in the Yucatan, ...Oct 11 2010 -
Do NOT let the "cool" weather in the country fool you, Hurricane Season is NOT over yet and the USA is still at risk, not even a low chance.
Subtropical Depression 17 looks like a Subtropical Storm. I'm sure recon will find winds greater then 39 mh to classify this a Subtropical Cyclone. It's purely warm core, but the ULL being stacked on it makes it hard for the convection/winds to get near the center, thus calling it Subtropical. This formed from a Tropical Wave, so the stor ...Oct 06 2010 -
Tropical Storm Nicole still a serious threat to the Southeastern USA
Tropical Storm Nicole (which finally formed this morning) continues to move west of the models and NHC for now. The NNE movement makes much more sense based on the latest steering layers map shown below. Nicole isn't really THAT disorganized to me, got good structure, convection. The only thing, and it's a big thing that Nicole lacks is a well defi ...Sep 29 2010 -
Tropical Storm Nicole threatens the Southeastern USA.
While Nicole may not be Tropical for too long after exiting the Caribbean, she should continue to strengthen. There's some indications that the wind shear values may not be as high due to the front stalling and drifting north. Most will call this a Tropical Depression, but due to this... AL162010092818BEST0212N829W351000TS We will have Nicole by 5 ...Sep 28 2010 -
Tropical Storm Matthew will *eventually* head north, very confident on that!
Tropical Storm Matthew is moving towards the west at a good clip. The storm continues to become better organized. I see no reason for this not to be a Hurricane by Saturday. The NHC doesn’t forecast it, but does have Hurricane Watches to be on the safe side. I feel the NHC actually has a good handle of the storm. As a low cuts off form ...Sep 23 2010 -
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MiamiHurricanes09
MiamiHurricanes09 has not set their biography yet
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95L On The Verge Of Becoming A Tropical Cyclone
95L On The Verge Of Becoming The Season's First Cyclone Recent data from a reconnaissance aircraft that was investigating 95L earlier today suggests that the system has developed a closed surface circulation, albeit that it remains broad at this time. However, the reason that the system has yet to become a tropical cyclone is the lack of organi ...Jun 28 2011 -
95L Could Become The Season's First Tropical Depression
Satellite imagery and surface observations both suggest that the circulation associated with 95L has become better defined over the past few hours, albeit that it still remains relatively broad. Atmospheric conditions currently aren't ideal for tropical cyclogenesis due to the presence of an upper-trough located to the northwest of the system ...Jun 27 2011 -
Tropical Disturbance in the Western Caribbean Poses a Slight Threat to Develop
A tropical wave that continues to interact with the monsoonal trough in the western Caribbean has become slightly better organized on satellite imagery this afternoon. A banding feature is evident on satellite imagery which is likely being enhanced by trade winds flowing in from the east-southeast converging with the flow of the monsoonal trou ...Jun 25 2011 -
Igor barrels towards Bermuda as a high-end category 2 hurricane
Hurricane IgorLatest visible satellite images reveal that Igor remains a very large and relatively powerful high-end category 2 hurricane. A microwave satellite image from a little earlier this morning concluded that Igor had begun an eyewall replacement cycle (EWRC). This can be noticed quite clearly on satellite imagery as there is a lack of ...Sep 18 2010 -
Earl affects the Canadian Maritimes; Ex-Gaston likely to regenerate; Watching the BOC
Tropical UpdateEarl is now racing off towards the NE as a strong tropical storm. Satellite imagery suggests that the system has begun to make an extratropical transition with an expanding wind-field particularly to the south. Earl is expected to continue to race off towards the NE with a decrease in forward speed in 24-36 hours. By then, Earl ...Sep 04 2010 -
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cchsweatherman
cchsweatherman has not set their biography yet
Recent Posts
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Tropics Come Alive: Tracking the Cape Verde Train
Its amazing how much a week changes everything in the tropics. Last week this time, we were looking at pretty tranquil conditions across the Atlantic basin, but tonight, the tropics are definitely alive as I'm tracking three systems out across the Atlantic: Hurricane Danielle, Tropical Storm Earl, and Invest 97L. It definitely appears that Cape Ver ...Aug 26 2010 -
Tracking the Tropics: Watching Invest 95L in East Atlantic
Good evening everyone! Back again after a break enjoying friends and family for once and ready to get back into the swing of things forecasting once again.As usual, I'm tracking the tropics this time of year and we definitely have something that bares watching way out there in the Eastern Atlantic off Africa. Over the past few days a tropical ...Aug 21 2010 -
Central Atlantic Heating Up
Good evening folks! It appears that I'm returning to some action trying to develop in the Central Atlantic. Over the past week, the ITCZ (Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone) has been building up heat and moisture and it seems that it may be gradually leading to some tropical development in the coming days. On Wednesday, a large tropical w ...Jul 31 2010 -
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Nocaneindy
Nocaneindy has not set their biography yet
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A Tropical Brief
The Atlantic tropics are in respite at the moment, with the N.H.C. having no areas of interest shaded. Computer models are showing potential areas of interest for next week, with perhaps our first Cape Verde system, and, a possible resurgence of T.D. 5. I'm not one for running wild with possible scenario's that are 5 or more days out, so I wi ...Aug 13 2010 -
T.D. 5 quickcast
T.D. 5 is at the moment struggling with dry air entrainment, and this has led to the system becoming largely disorganized. While I won't completely write off this system, I really have doubts that it will ever attain Tropical Storm status. I expect a 35mph, very disorganized system at best upon landfall. & ...Aug 11 2010 -
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Watching for Caribbean development this weekend and next week; heavy rain for C.A.
Please note that these tidbits do NOT reflect the official forecasts of the National Hurricane Center, and should not be taken as such. While tropical cyclones exist in the Atlantic, the official NHC forecasts will be posted in the lower part of this blog. Please refer to those when making decisions, and heed the advisories and evacuation statement ...Oct 12 2011 -
93L inland but not named; Jova aiming for Mexico; Caribbean is next for trouble
Please note that these tidbits do NOT reflect the official forecasts of the National Hurricane Center, and should not be taken as such. While tropical cyclones exist in the Atlantic, the official NHC forecasts will be posted in the lower part of this blog. Please refer to those when making decisions, and heed the advisories and evacuation statement ...Oct 10 2011 -
The southeast U.S. to get a subtropical soaking; Bigger problems may arise by mid-month
Please note that these tidbits do NOT reflect the official forecasts of the National Hurricane Center, and should not be taken as such. While tropical cyclones exist in the Atlantic, the official NHC forecasts will be posted in the lower part of this blog. Please refer to those when making decisions, and heed the advisories and evacuation statement ...Oct 07 2011 -
Subtropical development early next week may be potent, but not a dangerous surprise
Please note that these tidbits do NOT reflect the official forecasts of the National Hurricane Center, and should not be taken as such. While tropical cyclones exist in the Atlantic, the official NHC forecasts will be posted in the lower part of this blog. Please refer to those when making decisions, and heed the advisories and evacuation statement ...Oct 06 2011 -
Potentially potent subtropical trouble to develop and move north early next week
Please note that these tidbits do NOT reflect the official forecasts of the National Hurricane Center, and should not be taken as such. While tropical cyclones exist in the Atlantic, the official NHC forecasts will be posted in the lower part of this blog. Please refer to those when making decisions, and heed the advisories and evacuation statement ...Oct 05 2011 -
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nyhurricaneboy
nyhurricaneboy has not set their biography yet
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Tropical Weather Synopsis - August 12, 2010
Right now, the tropics are seemingly quiet. Tropical Depression Five is no more, as is Invest 93L. However, that does not mean that the tropics are lacking activity. Tropical Depression Five was demoted yesterday to a remnant low by the National Hurricane Center primarily due to the broadness of the circulation an ...Aug 12 2010 -
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thundercloud
thundercloud has not set their biography yet
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World Record Wind Speed
In what was thought as a record that could never be broken.... MT. Washington's world record is no more..... ...Aug 13 2010 -
XTD5 Moving into Gulf?
Tropical Depression 5, or what is left from TD5, has been moving very slowly or even stalled right off the coastline near NOLA. What gets my attention with this is the fact that the GFS has been predicting that this storm will get pushed back into the gulf... well if it indeed has slowed down to a very slow crawl then the chances of this are ...Aug 12 2010 -
93L
As promised here is my analysis on 93L: As we can see here it has convection that has developed in all quadrants... it also has some deep convection and has a Low level circulation therefore I expect to see this upgraded to Tropical Depression 6. I give this a 95% chance of TD 6, 75% of a TS (either Danielle or Earl), 25% chance of C ...Aug 11 2010 -
TD5 is it dead or not???
So here we are less then 24 hours since the development of TD5 and we are already talking about if it is dead or not... here is my opinion and forecast for TD51. I do not think that it is dead and I think that it will continue to struggle right where it is. It is moving very slowly toward landfall that should occur later tonight or tomorrow. So if ...Aug 11 2010 -
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alexhurricane1991
alexhurricane1991 has not set their biography yet
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The Atlantic is waking up!
Hello everyone this is my first blog post on here i love tropical weather but im not well versed in it like levi32 and others but i know some things if i get something wrong or if you have a different opinion leave a comment about what you bilieve. anyway lets get down to it the atlantic is showing signs of life as there is a tropical wave that is ...Aug 19 2010 -
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weatherguy03
weatherguy03 has not set their biography yet
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Hurricane Irene Morning Update Aug. 26th., 2011
You need to a flashplayer enabled browser to view this video Don't let your guard down with Irene. Just because you may have woke up this morning and Irene is "only" a Cat 2 Hurricane, this is a large and powerful Hurricane. The storm surge will be higher then normal due to astronomically higher tides. Irene will have Cat 3 storm surge with ...Aug 26 2011 -
Hurricane Irene Evening Update Aug. 24th., 2011
You need to a flashplayer enabled browser to view this video... ...Aug 24 2011 -
Hurricane Irene A Threat For The Bahamas, Mid-Atlantic and Northeast U.S.
... ...Aug 23 2011 -
Hurricane Earl 7AM Update Sept. 3rd. 2010...Earl Outlook And The Rest Of The Tropics.
Synopsis: As of 5AM Hurricane Earl had max. winds of 105mph and minimum central pressure of 955mb. Earl is a Cat 2 storm this morning and gradually weakening will occur as Earl moves off to the NNE today. Earl should approach the Extreme SE New England Coast as a Cat 1 storm tonite and then move towards Southern Nova Scotia Saturday morning as a Ca ...Sep 03 2010 -
Hurricane Earl 9PM Update Sept. 2nd. 2010
Synopsis: As of 8PM Hurricane Earl had max. winds of 110mph and a minimum pressure of 948mb. This makes Earl a Cat 2 storm. Earl has weakened throughout the day as dry air and shear is affecting him as he moves North. It looks like Earl has stopped anymore Westward movement and is now moving just East of Due North at 18mph. This should keep the bul ...Sep 02 2010 -
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Post Hurricane Season 2010
Nothing going on at this site! No winter category!... ...Dec 08 2010 -
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snakedoctor
snakedoctor has not set their biography yet
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New Weather tool for local weather info!
I wanted to share this site I found through a local weather spotter group im a part of. Really neat site and set up I have rather enjoyed playing with it and will review it during the next decent thunderstorm. Stay safe have fun! ~James http://weatherspark.com/#... ...May 02 2012 -
SHARING- A Plea to the National Media Featured
Im sharing this blog post here, As I think most can and will find allot of truth in it! A Plea to the National Media "It's happened for years now - the national (and some local) media just can't seem to report weather-related stories without goofing something up. There are times where the goofs are minor, but many of the mistakes are substa ...Apr 16 2012 -
4th UPDATED: Have a tornado warning with one headed towards...
4th UPDATE: Confirmed EF-2 Tornado touch down last night! https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=201201121922-KGSP-NOUS42-PNSGSP UPDATE3: Storm damage from Burke County NC, Sever damage this is about 15-20 min away. http://www.wcnc.com/news/local/Severe-weeather-pounding-NewsChannel-36-viewing-area-137130908.html Link to the photos they have ...Jan 11 2012 -
The Birth,Life and Death of Hurricane Irene
This is a time lapse of Irene as it became a hurricane, made landfall and died:... ...Sep 01 2011 -
First post, IRENE!
Seeing as how most of the info has been blogged over and over already. Ill post pics and updates I get. This is video from ISS of the storm. It is massive even from space. http://www.slideshare.net/nasa/hurricane-irene-viewed-on-thursday-by-space-station-cameras This is a full disk image from 8/26/11 showing IRENE http://www.flickr.com/photos/24662 ...Aug 26 2011 -
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2010 Hurricane Season may have another storm up it's sleeve next week! Next big season is Tornado season 2011 and it could be a doozy.
I really think 2011 will have an early start to tornado season as La Nina is famous for this. I predict that conditions could be similar to that of 2008.Thanks,Jeff Mckown... ...Nov 09 2010 -
Central and South Florida Residents really need to watch 95L this weekend as the Florida Penisula appears to be in it's path.
Geat Ready!... ...Sep 22 2010 -
Invest 95L
Below is a link to the HWRF model which shows 95L going thru the Yucatan Channel as a powerful hurricane. This is the latest run at 8am 9/22/2010. Bottomline is this is a serious threat to the FL Penisula and people better be ready next week. http://www.coaps.fsu.edu/~maue/extreme/hwrf/invest95l.2010092206_wind.png... ...Sep 22 2010 -
The Real weatherBlog!
Guys I am glad to be out of that mess!Thanks,Jeff Mckown... ...Sep 16 2010 -
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TROPICAL WEATHER UPDATE September 16th, 2010.
Good morning everyone and welcome to my blog for THURSDAY September 16th, 2010. The tropics continue to be very active this morning, while both Igor and Julia have become less organized (particularly the latter) Karl is starting to become a dangerous cyclone to me, and I will start off with him first. Karl is currently located at 19.7°N 9 ...Sep 16 2010 -
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RIP Andy Gabrielson
The storm chasing community lost one of their own on February 4th. Andy Gabrielson, founder of findthetornado.com died in car accident on I44 outside of Tulsa, OK. He would have been 25 on the 19th. Many members of the stormchasing community, also members of spotternetwork.org, manually updated their locations, users of softwar ...Feb 05 2012 -
Lake Somerville
I recently had an opportunity to drive over Lake Somerville dam. Lake Somerville is a reservoir formed by the damming of Yegua Creek, which is a tributary of the Brazos River. Lake Somerville is not a terribly large lake, but it is used to provide flood control for communities downstream (including Somerville, which lies just to the east of the ...Aug 14 2011 -
A Bold Prediction for the 2013 Hurricane Season
I am making a bold prediction for the 2013 Atlantic Hurricane season. The first named storm of the year, Andrea, will hit the Houston-Galveston area. How can I make such a prediction? Let us take a look back in history. The era of modern tropical cyclone naming in the Atlantic basin began in 1979, when the six rotating list of alternating men's a ...Aug 13 2011 -
TD 06
Earlier today, the NHC declared a new invest, 95L, for a system attached to a front well of the east coast of the US. ATCF now indicates that invest has become Tropical Depression 6: ATCF It seems likely this system will become Tropical Storm Franklin during its fairly brief passage over warm water: UPDATE: While I was typing this, Advisory 1 ...Aug 12 2011 -
The Vanishing Texas River
This past weekend, we made a trip to San Antonio, TX (we live in a western suburb of Houston). This trip crosses several rivers, major and minor, as well as numerous streams (including what, in my opinion, is one of the most unique place-names in Texas: Woman Hollering Creek.) I was rather looking forward to driving through squally weather from T ...Aug 01 2011 -
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