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Is GFS trolling us already this "season?" Look what has turned up in at least one run in the last 24 hours:
Yes, that is what looks like a tropical cyclone in the NW Caribbean on May 26th. Will we get off to an early start this year, or is GFS already out to lunch?
UPDATE:
GFS is starting to be more consistent in developing something in the Caribbean in late May. And it starting to zero in on the SW Floida Peninsula. Here is the last frame of the 6Z 05/12 run:
The range has been...
Visible and Infrared Imagery:
Radar Loops of Locations in the Way of Sandy:
Washington, DC
Richmond, VA :
New York :...
90L Overview Featured
...
90L "Son of Isaac" Wind Profile Featured
...
Flash flood warning for St. John the Baptist and St Charles Parish!
Tangipahoa Parish says MEMA told them that dam breach is imminent. Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal said an intentional breach will be made between 2-3 p.m. to alleviate pressure. The dam is in imminent danger of failing, which could send 17 feet of water to Kentwood within 90 minutes, Jindal said, in a press briefing....
...
Dam about to break 50-60,000 people in danger in Tangipahoa Parish Louisiana. Kentwood to Robert. So.of McComb. Evacuate immediately.
Road closures: Flooding has closed state roads in several counties including Highway 43 between Hickory Nut Road, Harby Burks Road at Henleyfield, and Highway 11 in Pearl River County; Highway 49 between Dedeaux Road and Community Road in Harrison County; Highway 43/603 at Jourdan River, a section of Highway 90 at Whites Bayou near Pearlington, Highway 43/6...
...
I dont care for any of the MSM stations but this is GREAT! ...
Not my normal post but I have to say something.
Firstly Stephanie Abbrams sounds like a damn fool and is pissing me off with this BS Cajun accent she tries to add when saying New Orlean, and Louisiana. Makes her sound completly dumb as hell. JUST STOP IT NOW!
Then the most important thing. They have basicly given a big screw you to every other part of Louisiana, then had the damn nerve to say this
"THE LAND MASS BETWEEN NOLA AND MOBILE". Are you kidding me you jack ass. Katrina hit ...
000
AXNT20 KNHC 231202
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU AUG 23 2012
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AN...
Tropical Storm Isaac Update Featured
5am Thursday 8/23/12
Summary:
At 5am EDT Thursday, Tropical Storm Isaac was located about 255 miles south-southeast of San Juan Puerto Rico, or approximately 1,275 miles from Miami, Florida.After a wobble to the southwest and a reformation of the center of circulation last night, Isaac is moving west at 12 mph. Although additional “wobbles” are possible, a general west-northwest motion is expected for the next day or 2 as it is steered around the southern edge of a large high pressure system i...
WHAT
A tropical wave that is located in the NW Bahamas, is labeled 91L early in the afternoon on Friday.
WHERE
The center appears to be east of andros island
ANALYSIS
With at least 24 hours over water, and decent shear indecies, this area must be watched for further development, either way, expect heavy rain, gusty winds, and a chance of tornadic activity in South Florida today, tommorow, and sunday.
...
Invest 99L developed into Tropical Depression #5 yesterday, and has maintained about the same intensity since then. Thunderstorm activity partially covers the center, but is still clearly being limited by wind shear being imposed on the northern side of the circulation by an upper low over the central Atlantic. This wind shear will continue to be a moderate issue for TD 5 over the next few days as the upper trough expands westward a bit to the north of the big Caribbean islands, following TD ...
Tropical Depression 5 forms Featured
The National Hurricane Center has begun issuing advisories on Tropical Depression 5, which formed this afternoon from Invest 99L east of the Windward Islands. Tropical Depression 5 is forecast to become Hurricane Ernesto in 5 days.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE DISCUSSION NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052012
500 PM AST WED AUG 01 2012
DURING THE DAY...VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES SHOWED THAT THE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO THE EAST OF
THE...
The main feature of interest in the Atlantic continues to be Invest 99L east of the Antilles islands The system has gradually become better organized over the last couple of days, with moderate-deep convection persisting over a developing area of surface low pressure. This convection is not yet well-organized, however, and 99L is still largely attached to the ITCZ, and it will need to detach from this in order to close off its own surface circulation. This could happen within the next day or two...
Stormchaser81 is a very talented member of the Xtreme Weather Team whose areas of expertise include Doppler radar, satellite interpretation, severe weather warnings, and tropical weather forecasting.
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Any storm predictions for early June 2013??
Yeah, I've been tuned out as well. Rarely get over to WU anymore. Oh well, once Cane season spins up...
I have actually been tuned out so far this year. I currently have no thoughts on how the year might...
Hey Wotan, thanks for the post. That looks quite interesting. I wouldn't be surprised if that played...
When is the Nor'easter gonna hit?
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Violent tornado devastates Moore, OklahomaA massive and violent tornado at least a mile wide smashed through Moore, Oklahoma near 3 pm CDT Monday, causing catastrophic damage along a 20-mile long path. The National Weather Service in Norman, Oklahoma has rated the tornado at least an EF-4 (166 - 200 mph winds), and detailed damage surveys may upgrade this rating to the top-end EF-5 level in the coming days. Damage was extreme and covered a...
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Tornadoes Slam 5-State Area, Killing Two; Outbreak Continues TodayThe Midwest U.S. is under the gun again today, as a potent storm system that spawned a preliminary count of 24 tornadoes in five states on Sunday reloads and prepares to dish out another afternoon and evening of atmospheric mayhem. Sunday's tornadoes swept through Oklahoma, Kansas, Iowa, Missouri, and Illinois, with Oklahoma bearing the brunt of the assault. The outbreak's only deadly tornado--preliminarily rated as en EF-5 with 166 -...