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Earl, the first Hurricane to seriously threaten the Northeastern Coastline of the USA since Hurricane Floyd in 1999
If you live anywhere from North Carolina to Maine, and Canada, you need to CLOSELY monitor Hurricane Earl. I mentioned a few days ago, maybe on here or was it on Wunderground?? Anyways, I mentioned that Earl should come close to the USA or make a direct impact when models had it recurving around Bermuda. It's a pattern people, Danielle recurves east, Earl recurves further west, 97L.. possibly a serious problem, still far out to really get excited about. Earl is a monster category 1 storm, by the way it's looking, it may reach major Hurricane status by tomorrow morning at the earliest. Earl is moving towards the WNW, but radar observations show that a western jog or movement has begun yet again.
Hurricane Earl
Hurricane Earls track is becoming more clearly to me, the water vapor tells it all! Earl should start moving more WNW as itg strengthens and feels the weakness, the same weakness that recurved Danielle, but Earl will not recurve from that one. The weakness forming over the Midwestern USA is the one that will recurve Earl, but will it be too late? Could Earl move fast enough to recurve after making a historical landfall in the Northeast, Long Island per say? Still too early to tell, it is a less likely and worst case scenario. The best scenario that models agree on is that Earl slowly moves north, catches the trough and heads out to sea, scraping the Northeast with TS force winds. This would cause TS warnings from NC to Maine and Newfoundland. Maybe a Hurricane watch as well. Speculating, not predicting those watches and warnings.
First run on Hurricane Earl
The reason why I took so long to make a track and discuss both Danielle and Earl was because I've been busy working and I honestly didn't want to be called a doomcaster, wishcaster, ect. ater putting out a track like this, but this HAS BEEN my originally idea on Earl since it came off the coastline. I will have a post on 97L when it actually becomes either TD8 or Fiona, most likely tomorrow. This si the one that may be the biggest impact of them all!
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Stormchaser81 is a very talented member of the Xtreme Weather Team whose areas of expertise include Doppler radar, satellite interpretation, severe weather warnings, and tropical weather forecasting.
Any storm predictions for early June 2013??
When is the Nor'easter gonna hit?
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Hey Allan, GREAT post and update. First of all, you'll never be called any of those things here. People are allowed to cast however they want. It's not hurting anyone. Second, I have been thinking for a while that Earl was going to make it further west than the models were originally showing. I know you've stated your beefs with the NHC this season because they've been stingy about naming depressions when they need to be. I think they've been a bunch of northcasters this season! It seems like almost every storm this season has been tracking south of the forecast points sometimes for over a day at a time. I think Earl could end up being an East coast even but only time will tell. No matter what it's gonna be close...have a great night!